Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 396.001115 448.782639 507.068665 576.392105 656.833422 747.516202 857.877937
2026-01-25 310.328632 378.182999 459.652799 565.404005 700.097049 867.324109 1092.847871
2026-02-01 272.918184 349.309799 446.413775 580.360430 762.618521 1005.278803 1358.419451
2026-02-08 240.948528 320.466700 426.196669 579.314826 799.145167 1109.202914 1590.242518
2026-02-15 214.926872 295.171632 405.976306 573.218782 824.671899 1197.616600 1809.959813
2026-02-22 197.104366 278.580133 394.977049 577.394294 863.555797 1308.303408 2078.668868
2026-03-01 178.771610 258.968359 376.945312 567.986562 879.057711 1383.015609 2298.968777
2026-03-08 164.462788 243.694557 363.447976 563.360140 900.469264 1468.542156 2549.829158
2026-03-15 148.283093 223.953376 340.972352 541.456176 889.850397 1497.327730 2701.403253
2026-03-22 142.446494 219.762141 342.426442 558.817238 947.914138 1653.417442 3118.950498
2026-03-29 138.163277 217.576062 346.733726 581.179194 1017.153941 1838.987908 3628.683215
2026-04-05 130.394480 208.938345 339.401886 582.066811 1046.578684 1952.274444 4008.095055
2026-04-12 120.682427 196.424537 324.651783 568.506737 1047.827697 2011.963119 4286.662035
2026-04-19 112.250398 185.470137 311.724439 557.050960 1051.900508 2078.240380 4594.472465
2026-04-26 108.577364 182.487825 312.622812 571.793800 1110.378964 2267.881967 5236.456131
2026-05-03 102.980501 175.626035 305.847426 570.763419 1135.731251 2388.381678 5731.777592
2026-05-10 97.221655 168.032693 297.069382 564.770757 1149.556532 2484.459906 6184.094464
2026-05-17 93.232561 163.391333 293.450555 568.875570 1185.970458 2638.891456 6831.618069
2026-05-24 87.961506 155.976765 283.911004 559.627000 1190.946178 2717.620738 7281.178089
2026-05-31 83.647765 150.087000 276.899140 555.078706 1206.250630 2824.538742 7840.961962
2026-06-07 77.811173 140.895680 262.680319 533.543342 1178.639923 2816.697340 8043.079741
2026-06-14 76.445067 140.325653 265.764848 550.612429 1246.989930 3074.176888 9168.489656
2026-06-21 75.597580 140.710606 270.809111 572.596328 1330.564295 3388.318740 10579.641590